West Coast Seismic Lull May Be Over
By Cal Orey
Last night I was a guest among others on Coast to Coast radio program. We discussed the ongoing earthquake wager in the works: Geologist Jim Berkland and I, an author-intuitive aka "earthquake sensitive" have had a bet regarding where the next 6.0+ will hit in Calif., the Golden State. I say NorCal, he says SoCal. Still all is quiet for more than 2 1/2 years. Caveat: A 5.9 did hit Offshore NorCal in Nov. 2008; I did forecast the Long Beach 4.7 recent jolt. But that's it.
All has been quiet until yesterday...a 6.9 struck the Gulf of Calif. and was widely felt in SoCal, AZ, TX, and Mexico. In two days, we have a Full Moon Eclipse...This may or may not trigger more quakes in the U.S. Or the quake south of the border could migrate north. I believe the "hot spots" in CA are Offshore NorCal, SF Bay Area, Sierra Nevada (Mammoth Lakes to Tahoe-Reno), and San Fernando Valley. And the Pacific Northwest (Offshore OR and near Seattle aren't immune). Probability of a moderate+ quake hitting in one of these regions this month of August is 70%.
One more thing: On my other blog http://www.calorey.blogspot.com/ I posted these words earlier today, which I find strange and coincidental:
On Sunday I had making gourmet homemade guacamole (all by myself) on my mind. Ironically, today during the proofing process of my September Earth Changes article about Mother Nature being on vacation--a 6.9 powerful quake hit the Gulf of California... I find this eerie because a few days ago I predicted on http://www.earthquakeepi-center.com/ that the upcoming lunar eclipse/Full Moon may rock the U.S. --this shaker was widely felt in Arizona, Texas, California--and Mexico (a place the popular dip made from avocados orginated)...
http://www.oracle20-20.com/magazine/2009/0809/orey.php
ReplyDeleteEarthquake Weather...this article was released Aug. 1 online and in hard copy. I submitted a month prior.
Magnitude 4.9 - OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
ReplyDelete2009 August 07 10:49:34 UTC
DetailsMapsScientific & TechnicalAdditional Info
Earthquake Details
Magnitude 4.9
Date-Time Friday, August 07, 2009 at 10:49:34 UTC
Friday, August 07, 2009 at 03:49:34 AM at epicenter
Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
Location 40.316°N, 124.626°W
Depth 16.4 km (10.2 miles)
Region OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
Distances 29 km (18 miles) W (268°) from Petrolia, CA
42 km (26 miles) SW (227°) from Ferndale, CA
48 km (30 miles) WSW (245°) from Rio Dell, CA
66 km (41 miles) SW (217°) from Eureka, CA
334 km (208 miles) NW (307°) from Sacramento, CA
Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 0.5 km (0.3 miles); depth +/- 0.3 km (0.2 miles)
Parameters Nph= 46, Dmin=28 km, Rmss=0.07 sec, Gp=230°,
M-type=regional moment magnitude (Mw), Version=3
Source California Integrated Seismic Net:
USGS Caltech CGS UCB UCSD UNR
Event ID nc71261376
This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.
Did you feel it?
I'm sensing more is to follow. No aftershocks. This region has a history of 5-6.0+s and it's been a while--Nov. 28, rolled in as a 6.2 and downgraded to a 5.9. I can see a 6.0 happening here this month. 70% probability. Petrolia, Eureka...Hopefully, if it hits it will be more offshore than inland. I just read somewhere every 4 yrs. this region can rock a signifant quake. 7.2 June 2005...Four years and then some.
ReplyDelete5.2 hits Offshore OR as forecasted for Aug...and a swarm is forming.
ReplyDeletehttp://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsus/Maps/US2/43.45.-130.-128.php
4.0 shakemail for near Mammoth Lakes, 29 miles on Aug. 30; downgraded to felt 3.7.
ReplyDelete