Monday, June 15, 2009

A Perfect Quake: Offshore NorCal Overdue for Shaker in June

A Perfect Setup for an Earthquake Sequel?

I remember June 15, 2005--7.2 Offshore NorCal Shaker... Let's face it. This region is usually seismically active. But today, Offshore Northern California is experiencing a mega seismic lull (unlike 4 years ago) with recent small teaser-type swarms both offshore and inland of NorCal. We haven't had much significant movement for more than six months--and it's overdue to shake.

On Nov. 29, 2008 a 5.9 hit near Petrolia. And, who can forget on June 15, 2005 "California June Jitters" a 7.2 struck which was followed by a faulty tsunami alert for a short span. Then, a 6.7 aftershock and 4.9 came and went. Today, is the anniversary of the memorable shaker during a month of more than one California shaker.

Fast forward: June 2009, I'm sensing this vulnerable offshore coastal area--Petrolia, Eureka, Crescent City--in that order for a potential epi, should shake this month. It could happen now all the way until and through the upcoming New Moon on June 22 and extreme tidal period coming later this month. The lunar cycle and erratic tides could give it a push. Or not.

Prediction

5.0+ Offshore NorCal

Potential Epi: Petrolia, Eureka, Crescent City

Now-June 30

Probability 50%

Notes: Long left ear tone (in a public place yesterday--very odd for me); history often repeats itself; activity this month including a swarm of minor quakes may have been a sign for an upcoming quake.

Monday, June 8, 2009

SF Bay Area Temblor Rumbles East Bay On Cue

Author-Intuitive Forecasted SF Bay Area (East Bay) Would Shake Rattle, and Roll

On the site www.earthquakeepi-center.com this post is on the Predictions Forum. Yesterday, I was speaking with geologist Jim Berkland and I told him my dog Simon was acting extremely clingy (getting on top of me while sitting in a chair; being a "Velcro Canine") --a sign to me for the SF Bay Area or Tahoe to quake. (Also, intense earthquake headache; humidifier has been on for past 3 days.)

Before midnight a friend in Oakland called me...I said, "A quake?" I was waiting for this which follows the felt 3.2 two days prior in El Cerrito. Both quakes are near Oakland and felt throughout the East Bay as predicted. And more may be on its way for this month of June.

Re: SF Bay -Area NOW-June 30, 4.0-5.0+
Reply #6 on: June 06, 2009, 06:49:53 PM
... What's bugging me now is that both dogs have been roughhousing past few days--a lot. And Simon, 6 yr. old keeps trying to get up in my lap. Very odd. Again, this behavior is often linked to quakes that happen in Tahoe/Sierra region or SF Bay area.
Report to moderator 24.176.240.142 (?)
"I've seen a look in dogs' eyes, a quickly vanishing look of amazed contempt, and I am convinced that basically dogs think humans are nuts." --John Steinbeckhttp://caloreyquakepredictor.blogspot.com/ http://www.calorey.com/http://calorey.blogspot.com/

A minor earthquake occurred at 3:15:04 PM (PDT) on Monday, June 8, 2009.The magnitude 3.7 event occurred 1 km (1 miles) NE of Danville, CA.The hypocentral depth is 8 km ( 5 miles).
Magnitude
3.7 - regional moment magnitude (Mw)
Time
Monday, June 8, 2009 at 3:15:04 PM (PDT)Monday, June 8, 2009 at 22:15:04 (UTC)
Distance from
Danville, CA - 1 km (1 miles) NE (43 degrees)Diablo, CA - 2 km (1 miles) SSW (197 degrees)Blackhawk, CA - 4 km (3 miles) WNW (285 degrees)Concord, CA - 17 km (11 miles) SSE (164 degrees)Oakland, CA - 23 km (15 miles) E (83 degrees)
Coordinates
37 deg. 49.2 min. N (37.821N), 121 deg. 57.8 min. W (121.963W)
Depth
8.1 km (5.0 miles)
Location Quality
Excellent

Source: USGS

Monday, June 1, 2009

Calif. Quake June Jitters 2005 Sequel?

A Moderate+ Shaker in the Works for California
by Cal Orey

I remember June 2005. A whole lotta shakin' was going on. We had the 7.2 and 6.7 Offshore NorCal; 4.8 (which I felt) in Tahoe Vista. And two 4.0+s in SoCal. So, the question remains, will June shake our Golden State?

Uh yeah, I think so. We did endure two 4.7's in May: SoCA near Long Beach and Keeler south of Mammoth Lakes (I was 100 miles off for the eq swarm/5.0 I forecasted for the Sierra region south of Lake Tahoe).

Prediction

A moderate+ quake will strike Calif. this month. Likely epicenters are plentiful and in this order: Offshore NorCal (Petrolia or Eureka); SF Bay Area (East Bay-Oakland, South Bay-Alum Rock or Morgan Hill) and felt throughout...if a 5.0+ hits it will be felt throughout NorCal. Mammoth Lakes isn't out of the question (we did have two minor swarms in May); and Tahoe Vista could have a repeat--overdue (the 4.7 Verdi Mogul Apr. 25 was the last time I felt the Earth move). SoCA? San Fernando Valley is still in the running for up to a 5.9 and near Long Beach (again). 60% probability a 5.0+ will rumble through California before June is over. More likely to happen during lunar cycles but not necessary.
Woman Who Predicts Earthquakes
Tahoe Vista quake (4.8), June 26, 2005. Prediction: On June 23, ... A 4.8 earthquake struck at 11:45 a.m. five miles from Tahoe Vista, Calif., ...www.calorey.com/WomanPredictsQuakes.html - 48k -
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