My Anti-Prediction a HIT--No 8.0 "Huge" CA Quake

By Cal Orey, Author Intuitive

As co-founder of www.earthquakeepi-center.com I posted an anti-prediction towards a whimsical earthquake forecast made by an individual with no name. It was picked up by an online writer and included a picture of the golden state which showed a big, big circle near Lake Tahoe--my home. Of course, I took notice and made my own prediction which hit. We survived the great quake that didn't happen. Here, take a look at my post and anti-prediction:

NEW CA Prediction: Don't Hold Your Breath

Reply #2 on: November 05, 2009, 07:55:28 PM

Sure, a great quake is possible in the next 2 months. But CA? Come on, we all know who this "quake predictor" may be and the track record for CA going down? It's well, here's my response to the writer of the article... Also, I will give $100 to a charity if a "great" 8.0+ hits CA this month. In other words, I'm making an anti-prediction (again) it ain't going to happen. (Accuracy rate? 100%) But, a major quake such as a 7.0 to 7.2 (or so) Offshore NorCal (Petrolia/Eureka) is possible but not GREAT. One more thing: Just reread the "article." Yeah, an Indian Ocean great quake or China great quake is possible (and even AK, for sure) before 2010 but CA? Not yet.your article is absurd. Your quake predictor is nameless. No data. You are setting up gullible Californians for a let down and panic. People, like me, have to settle folks down because of such pieces. Shame on you.

"A dog doesn't care if you're rich or poor. If you give him your heart, he'll give you his." -- Marley & Me www.calorey.com

And for those curious, here's the link to the quake prediction that fizzled:

http://newsblaze.com/story/20091105125448ianb.nb/topstory.html

The World Series Quake Predictor: 20 Years Later...Will It Happen Again?

By Cal Orey, Author Intuitive

Today I can still find myself pondering deadly fault lines and many of the earthquakes that I personally survived. Like me and other people, you’re likely to be both fascinated and freaked out by the power of earthquakes around the world, past and present. This fascination led me to Jim Berkland, who is the only American scientist to predict and name a major quake. Jim, a California geologist whose forecast of the famous October 17, 1989 “World Series Quake” that rumbled through the San Francisco Bay Area was right on the money. He’s also accurately predicted other significant quakes around the world. He is the subject of "The Man Who Predicts Earthquakes."...

This is the first book to document a geologist’s uncanny ability to foretell earthquakes around the world. Many of his theories--based on tides, moons, geyser activity, disoriented pets, lost cats and dogs, and magnetic field changes--are linked to the great Indian Ocean quake-tsunami disaster on December 26, 2004. Since scientists admit they aren’t able to reliably predict earthquakes, is it really so far-fetched to monitor lost cats? Berkland doesn’t think so. Berkland hopes that “someday earthquake warnings will be announced along with the weather” and could save countless people’s lives around the world.

This fascinating read includes stories of earthquake survivors, a wealth of details about seismic activity in earthquake prone regions–-West Coast, Midwest, the South, East Coast, China, Japan, and around the world, tales of earthquake cover-ups, and future weather and quake predictions. Written in a warm and witty style, and full of cutting-edge advice about do-it-yourself quake warnings and earthquake preparedness, The Man Who Predicts Earthquakes is a timely and important book.

Table of contents for
The Man Who Predicts Earthquakes : Jim Berkland, Maverick Geologist : How his Quake Warnings Can Save Lives / Cal Orey.
Contents
Acknowledgments
Foreword:
Preface
The Power of Earthquakes
PART ONE: THE PREDICTOR
Chapter 1
From Kid to Renegade Geologist
Chapter 2
Mother Nature's Forecasters
Chapter 3
Berkland Turns to Cats and Dogs
Chapter 4
The Grr-eat Cat-aclysm
PART TWO: THE NEW AGE MOVEMENT
Chapter 5
Tuning into Earthquake "Sensitives"
Chapter 6
Dreams and Visions
Chapter 7
Other Quake Predictors
PART THREE: SHAKERS AND SEISMIC WINDOWS
Chapter 8
West Coast Vibrations
Chapter 9
Pacific Northwest to Alaska
Chapter 10
Midwest Movements, Southern Shakes
Chapter 11
The East Coast Rocks
Chapter 12
What's Shakin' Around the World?
PART FOUR: THE BIG WAVE
Chapter 13
The Great Quake-Tsunami of 2004
Chapter 14
Where Are the Quake Warnings?
PART FIVE: POLITICS AND QUAKES
Chapter 15
"High Science" vs. Lost Four-Leggers
Chapter 16
The Frisco Quake Coverup
PART SIX: BRACING FOR THE BIG ONE
Chapter 17
"Good-bye, California?"
Chapter 18
The 20 Most Important
Questions about Earth Changes
Chapter 19
"Don't Be Scared; Be Prepared!"
Chapter 20
Future Foreshock(s), Wow!
Aftershocks
Berkland's Glossary
Bibliography

Available on www.amazon.com and www.barnesandnoble.com
For interviews --
20 Years Later: World Series Earthquake...
Will It Happen Again?
Contact Cal Orey/Jim Berkland
http://www.calorey.com/
COrey39184@aol.com

NorCal 3.6 Rattles SF Bay Area as Forecasted

By Cal Orey, Author-Intuitive

Recently, on national radio shows I've been repeating the words that "California is overdue for a shaker." After all, it's been quiet as stress builds up. Sure, Offshore NorCal shook a 5.9 on November 28, 2008 (as I predicted for the year a 6.0 would hit). And on May 17 a 4.7 temblor hit near Long Beach, again as I forecasted on my site www.earthquakeepi-center.com -- and noted on Coast to Coast the next day.

Rewind to last month. In the September issue of Oracle 20-20 magazine, in my monthly Earth Changes column I wrote:

...I sense September may be more vulnerable in the Golden State. On August 3, a 6.9 quake jolted the Gulf of California and was widely felt in Southern California. This could be the wake up period of ending the buildup of stress along the San Andreas Fault and abnormally calm Pacific Northwest (San Francisco Bay Area and Offshore Northern California). It’s been too quiet, too long...

And a follow-up prediction by me recently was posted on www.earthquakeepi-center.com in the Earthquake Prediction forum followed this month that S.F. Bay Area will give us a 5.0+ quake by October 31--based on several things including history and the seismic lull. So is more to come for the SF Bay Area? I give it 70% odds "yes" and by the time October ends but probably sooner.

Offshore OR 5.2 Quake Hits in August on Cue

By Cal Orey, Author-Intuitive

Today, I woke up to see on the USGS quake map that Offshore OR is shaking it up (again). Remember the mysterious swarm that came and went? Well, it's ba-a-ck--maybe. I mentioned on Coast to Coast radio program that the West Coast "was" in a mega lull and said "stress, stress, stress" is building and that I'd be shocked if a quake in CA didn't happen in CA in the month of August. On August 7, 4 days after the show--a 4.9 did hit Offshore NorCal near Petrolia and was reported felt by residents in the region of NorCal. And that's not all...

See below my forecast the day after the national program (podcasts can be heard it you go to the Coast to Coast site...I mention it and include a link to it on my Website: www.calorey.com -- top right, click the C2C recap noted on August 3). An after thought: I think I noted on the recent program the past mysterious swarm Offshore OR...and how it's overdue to rumble. Note to self. Must listen. Or, if you do hear the show, please contact me at COrey39184@aol.com .

The next day, this forecast was posted right here on this blog and my Website Earthquakeepi-center.com http://www.earthquakeepi-center.com/ -- the popular thread on Earthquke Predictions forum regarding the prediction West Coast+ 5.0-5.9...

Tuesday, August 4, 2009

West Coast Seismic Lull May Be Over in August '09
West Coast Seismic Lull May Be Over
By Cal Orey
Last night I was a guest among others on Coast to Coast radio program. We discussed the ongoing earthquake wager in the works: Geologist Jim Berkland and I, an author-intuitive aka "earthquake sensitive" have had a bet regarding where the next 6.0+ will hit in Calif., the Golden State. I say NorCal, he says SoCal. Still all is quiet for more than 2 1/2 years.

Caveat: A 5.9 did hit Offshore NorCal in Nov. 2008; I did forecast the Long Beach 4.7 recent jolt. But that's it.All has been quiet until yesterday...a 6.9 struck the Gulf of Calif. and was widely felt in SoCal, AZ, TX, and Mexico. In two days, we have a Full Moon Eclipse...This may or may not trigger more quakes in the U.S. Or the quake south of the border could migrate north. I believe the "hot spots" in CA are Offshore NorCal, SF Bay Area, Sierra Nevada (Mammoth Lakes to Tahoe-Reno), and San Fernando Valley. And the Pacific Northwest (Offshore OR and near Seattle aren't immune). Probability of a moderate+ quake hitting in one of these regions this month of August is 70%.

West Coast Seismic Lull May Be Over in August '09

West Coast Seismic Lull May Be Over

By Cal Orey

Last night I was a guest among others on Coast to Coast radio program. We discussed the ongoing earthquake wager in the works: Geologist Jim Berkland and I, an author-intuitive aka "earthquake sensitive" have had a bet regarding where the next 6.0+ will hit in Calif., the Golden State. I say NorCal, he says SoCal. Still all is quiet for more than 2 1/2 years. Caveat: A 5.9 did hit Offshore NorCal in Nov. 2008; I did forecast the Long Beach 4.7 recent jolt. But that's it.


All has been quiet until yesterday...a 6.9 struck the Gulf of Calif. and was widely felt in SoCal, AZ, TX, and Mexico. In two days, we have a Full Moon Eclipse...This may or may not trigger more quakes in the U.S. Or the quake south of the border could migrate north. I believe the "hot spots" in CA are Offshore NorCal, SF Bay Area, Sierra Nevada (Mammoth Lakes to Tahoe-Reno), and San Fernando Valley. And the Pacific Northwest (Offshore OR and near Seattle aren't immune). Probability of a moderate+ quake hitting in one of these regions this month of August is 70%.

One more thing: On my other blog http://www.calorey.blogspot.com/ I posted these words earlier today, which I find strange and coincidental:

On Sunday I had making gourmet homemade guacamole (all by myself) on my mind. Ironically, today during the proofing process of my September Earth Changes article about Mother Nature being on vacation--a 6.9 powerful quake hit the Gulf of California... I find this eerie because a few days ago I predicted on http://www.earthquakeepi-center.com/ that the upcoming lunar eclipse/Full Moon may rock the U.S. --this shaker was widely felt in Arizona, Texas, California--and Mexico (a place the popular dip made from avocados orginated)...

NorCal 4.0-50+ Shaker Now-July 31

Prediction

Offshore NorCal (Petrolia or Eureka; Crescent City possible epis)

and/or

SF Bay Area (East Bay or South Bay possible epis)

based on AWOL dogs 33/28; 8 cats

Recent minor quakes Offshore NorCal and overdue due to seismic lull

60% percent probability

long left ear tones (usually good for SF and Offshore NorCal)

The Geysers/Pinnacles ping pong--in the middle a quake often occurs during this period

Solar eclipse/erratic tides during Jim Berkland's seismic window but could hit before

A Perfect Quake: Offshore NorCal Overdue for Shaker in June

A Perfect Setup for an Earthquake Sequel?

I remember June 15, 2005--7.2 Offshore NorCal Shaker... Let's face it. This region is usually seismically active. But today, Offshore Northern California is experiencing a mega seismic lull (unlike 4 years ago) with recent small teaser-type swarms both offshore and inland of NorCal. We haven't had much significant movement for more than six months--and it's overdue to shake.

On Nov. 29, 2008 a 5.9 hit near Petrolia. And, who can forget on June 15, 2005 "California June Jitters" a 7.2 struck which was followed by a faulty tsunami alert for a short span. Then, a 6.7 aftershock and 4.9 came and went. Today, is the anniversary of the memorable shaker during a month of more than one California shaker.

Fast forward: June 2009, I'm sensing this vulnerable offshore coastal area--Petrolia, Eureka, Crescent City--in that order for a potential epi, should shake this month. It could happen now all the way until and through the upcoming New Moon on June 22 and extreme tidal period coming later this month. The lunar cycle and erratic tides could give it a push. Or not.

Prediction

5.0+ Offshore NorCal

Potential Epi: Petrolia, Eureka, Crescent City

Now-June 30

Probability 50%

Notes: Long left ear tone (in a public place yesterday--very odd for me); history often repeats itself; activity this month including a swarm of minor quakes may have been a sign for an upcoming quake.