NorCal 4.0-50+ Shaker Now-July 31

Prediction

Offshore NorCal (Petrolia or Eureka; Crescent City possible epis)

and/or

SF Bay Area (East Bay or South Bay possible epis)

based on AWOL dogs 33/28; 8 cats

Recent minor quakes Offshore NorCal and overdue due to seismic lull

60% percent probability

long left ear tones (usually good for SF and Offshore NorCal)

The Geysers/Pinnacles ping pong--in the middle a quake often occurs during this period

Solar eclipse/erratic tides during Jim Berkland's seismic window but could hit before

A Perfect Quake: Offshore NorCal Overdue for Shaker in June

A Perfect Setup for an Earthquake Sequel?

I remember June 15, 2005--7.2 Offshore NorCal Shaker... Let's face it. This region is usually seismically active. But today, Offshore Northern California is experiencing a mega seismic lull (unlike 4 years ago) with recent small teaser-type swarms both offshore and inland of NorCal. We haven't had much significant movement for more than six months--and it's overdue to shake.

On Nov. 29, 2008 a 5.9 hit near Petrolia. And, who can forget on June 15, 2005 "California June Jitters" a 7.2 struck which was followed by a faulty tsunami alert for a short span. Then, a 6.7 aftershock and 4.9 came and went. Today, is the anniversary of the memorable shaker during a month of more than one California shaker.

Fast forward: June 2009, I'm sensing this vulnerable offshore coastal area--Petrolia, Eureka, Crescent City--in that order for a potential epi, should shake this month. It could happen now all the way until and through the upcoming New Moon on June 22 and extreme tidal period coming later this month. The lunar cycle and erratic tides could give it a push. Or not.

Prediction

5.0+ Offshore NorCal

Potential Epi: Petrolia, Eureka, Crescent City

Now-June 30

Probability 50%

Notes: Long left ear tone (in a public place yesterday--very odd for me); history often repeats itself; activity this month including a swarm of minor quakes may have been a sign for an upcoming quake.

SF Bay Area Temblor Rumbles East Bay On Cue

Author-Intuitive Forecasted SF Bay Area (East Bay) Would Shake Rattle, and Roll

On the site www.earthquakeepi-center.com this post is on the Predictions Forum. Yesterday, I was speaking with geologist Jim Berkland and I told him my dog Simon was acting extremely clingy (getting on top of me while sitting in a chair; being a "Velcro Canine") --a sign to me for the SF Bay Area or Tahoe to quake. (Also, intense earthquake headache; humidifier has been on for past 3 days.)

Before midnight a friend in Oakland called me...I said, "A quake?" I was waiting for this which follows the felt 3.2 two days prior in El Cerrito. Both quakes are near Oakland and felt throughout the East Bay as predicted. And more may be on its way for this month of June.

Re: SF Bay -Area NOW-June 30, 4.0-5.0+
Reply #6 on: June 06, 2009, 06:49:53 PM
... What's bugging me now is that both dogs have been roughhousing past few days--a lot. And Simon, 6 yr. old keeps trying to get up in my lap. Very odd. Again, this behavior is often linked to quakes that happen in Tahoe/Sierra region or SF Bay area.
Report to moderator 24.176.240.142 (?)
"I've seen a look in dogs' eyes, a quickly vanishing look of amazed contempt, and I am convinced that basically dogs think humans are nuts." --John Steinbeckhttp://caloreyquakepredictor.blogspot.com/ http://www.calorey.com/http://calorey.blogspot.com/

A minor earthquake occurred at 3:15:04 PM (PDT) on Monday, June 8, 2009.The magnitude 3.7 event occurred 1 km (1 miles) NE of Danville, CA.The hypocentral depth is 8 km ( 5 miles).
Magnitude
3.7 - regional moment magnitude (Mw)
Time
Monday, June 8, 2009 at 3:15:04 PM (PDT)Monday, June 8, 2009 at 22:15:04 (UTC)
Distance from
Danville, CA - 1 km (1 miles) NE (43 degrees)Diablo, CA - 2 km (1 miles) SSW (197 degrees)Blackhawk, CA - 4 km (3 miles) WNW (285 degrees)Concord, CA - 17 km (11 miles) SSE (164 degrees)Oakland, CA - 23 km (15 miles) E (83 degrees)
Coordinates
37 deg. 49.2 min. N (37.821N), 121 deg. 57.8 min. W (121.963W)
Depth
8.1 km (5.0 miles)
Location Quality
Excellent

Source: USGS

Calif. Quake June Jitters 2005 Sequel?

A Moderate+ Shaker in the Works for California

by Cal Orey

I remember June 2005. A whole lotta shakin' was going on. We had the 7.2 and 6.7 Offshore NorCal; 4.8 (which I felt) in Tahoe Vista. And two 4.0+s in SoCal. So, the question remains, will June shake our Golden State?

Uh yeah, I think so. We did endure two 4.7's in May: SoCA near Long Beach and Keeler south of Mammoth Lakes (I was 100 miles off for the eq swarm/5.0 I forecasted for the Sierra region south of Lake Tahoe).

Prediction

A moderate+ quake will strike Calif. this month. Likely epicenters are plentiful and in this order: Offshore NorCal (Petrolia or Eureka); SF Bay Area (East Bay-Oakland, South Bay-Alum Rock or Morgan Hill) and felt throughout...if a 5.0+ hits it will be felt throughout NorCal. Mammoth Lakes isn't out of the question (we did have two minor swarms in May); and Tahoe Vista could have a repeat--overdue (the 4.7 Verdi Mogul Apr. 25 was the last time I felt the Earth move). SoCA? San Fernando Valley is still in the running for up to a 5.9 and near Long Beach (again). 60% probability a 5.0+ will rumble through California before June is over. More likely to happen during lunar cycles but not necessary.

Woman Who Predicts Earthquakes
Tahoe Vista quake (4.8), June 26, 2005. Prediction: On June 23, ... A 4.8 earthquake struck at 11:45 a.m. five miles from Tahoe Vista, Calif., ...www.calorey.com/WomanPredictsQuakes.html - 48k - Cached - Similar pages -

May Offshore NorCal/OR-Mammoth Lakes Quake Forecast Update

Update: My May forecast made in Oracle 20-20 magazine included a 5.0-6.0 swarm/quake in two regions. So far, a 4.2 struck near Eureka, Offshore NorCal on May 3; 4.2 did hit Offshore OR on May 26; an ongoing swarm including a 4.7 on the 23rd hit approximately 100 miles south of Mammoth Lakes on the edge of the Sierra Nevada; a minor swarm rumbled around Mammoth Lakes earlier in mid month. Five days left. It could go either way or fizzle. 50% probability a 5.0 will hit the regions in my forecast.

Original Prediction: May Forcast: Like March, April-May may experience a quake swarm and/or a quake in historical spots known for quake swarms and moderate shakers, such as Mammoth Lakes, Calif., and Offshore Oregon/NorCal (Petrolia or Eureka). I forecast a 5.0 to 6.0+ in one of these regions by June 1, 70% probability.

California: Offshore NorCal, Mammoth, SoCA May Rumble

NorCal or SoCA May Rumble Before June

All is quiet in the Golden State. Too quiet. Still sensing Offshore NorCal (a few micros today); SF Bay Area (Morgan Hill teases with a micro; AWOL dogs are up in San Jose with a 50 mile radius); or Mammoth Lakes (a mini swarm continues in the Sierra Nevada) will rattle nerves with a shake or two.

Not to ignore the SoCA reports I've gotten in the past two days (both humans and pets are on edge and/or acting out near the Long Beach and Los Angeles area, including Northridge). Cats are affectionate and vocal. Dogs restless. Humans noting physical cues to rehashing memories of Northridge earthquake of 1994.

So, it wouldn't be shocking to see more movement in the San Fernando Valley region. Sticking with my prediction in the Earth Changes May article that Offshore NorCal or Mammoth may shake a 5.0. (Ditto with more coming, stronger shaking following the recent Greater Los Angeles but may be extended until June.)

One week left in May, one would think the Earth will move some where, some place, some time in California as the tides will be erratic in a few days and the New Moon rises. Still, if nothing happens June may be a repeat of June Jitters 2005--the ping pong quake effect in NorCal and SoCA.

Note: I noted the same feeling on May 10 (scroll down to archived post on this blog) regarding a seismic lull. One week later: SoCA rocked on cue.

Sierra Ready to Shake?

SIERRA REGION IS OVERDUE FOR A SHAKER

I've been getting word images "Mammoth Lakes" and the "Sierra" which are getting stronger. A swarm of micros (again) this month are south of Tahoe and on the NV side of the Sierra Nevada region. http://quake.usgs.gov/recenteqs/Maps/119-37.html
Last year we were dealing with the ongoing swarm at Verdi-Mogul...And there is the 1980 Mammoth Lakes big quake swarm with 6.0s. We've got a New Moon on the rise in a few days so I'm on my toes and watching to see if my seismically sensitive critters will be on their paws. So far, fairly mellow here. But a moderate quake around the Tahoe area (Tahoe Vista, Truckee and south down to Markleeville) as well as Mammoth Lakes is over due and it wouldn't shock me if we did get a main shock before May is over...
Speaking of months. June isn't out of the question either for a moderate Sierra shaker. In June 2005, Tahoe Vista shook a strong 4.8 and my cat sensed it prior and 15 minutes before it rocked my house. http://www.calorey.com/WomanPredictsQuakes.html [Scroll down to #4]
And there is a new study circulating about how Lake Tahoe is capable of a major quake plus. Read: A whole lotta water out there from the deep, dark, cold lake could produce a seiche or tsunami as it did centuries ago.